Group Buy Helper - 拼团/砍价助手#

Analyze group-buy and bargain campaigns, estimate success probability, and suggest participation strategies. Use when the user asks to 分析拼团、估算砍价成功率、判断是否值得参团、生成拉人分享文案 or assess group-buy outcomes.

Usage Scenarios#

Scenario 1: Bargain Success Estimation#

User input: "分析砍价活动，还差 50 元，还有 24 小时，我已经有 30 个朋友帮忙了" Expected output: The skill calculates based on typical per-helper amounts (e.g., new users give higher amounts, existing users give lower amounts), estimates the number of additional helpers needed, and provides: success probability (high/medium/low), recommended actions (continue recruiting / invite new users / consider abandoning), and whether the expected effort is worth the discount.

Scenario 2: Group-Buy Feasibility Check#

User input: "拼团成功率，还差 2 人，只剩 3 小时了" Expected output: The skill considers time remaining, number of people needed, and typical group-buy conversion behavior. Provide a probability estimate, recommend whether to continue waiting or pay full price, and offer share-worthy text to recruit the last members.

Scenario 3: Share Copy Generation#

User input: "生成分享文案，帮我在微信群拉人拼这个团" Expected output: The skill generates 2-3 ready-to-copy share texts optimized for different social contexts (WeChat group, Moments, direct message). Each includes: what the product is, the discount being offered, a clear call to action, and a note about how many people are still needed. Text is persuasive but not spammy.

功能#

• 🎯 砍价成功率估算
• 📊 拼团成团概率分析
• 💡 最优策略建议
• 📝 分享文案生成
• ⏰ 活动状态追踪

使用#

text

分析砍价活动 还差多少
拼团成功率 还差2人
生成分享文案

输入建议#

• 拼团场景：原价、拼团价、还差人数、剩余时间
• 砍价场景：目标价、当前价、已助力人数、每次助力金额（如已知）
• 平台：拼多多 / 淘宝等

输出要求#

• 明确给出是否建议继续参与
• 给出成功概率或难度等级
• 给出下一步动作建议：继续拉人 / 尽快下单 / 直接放弃
• 需要生成分享文案时，输出可直接复制的文本

边界#

• 估算结果是策略建议，不应伪装成平台官方概率
• 输入缺少关键字段时，应先提示信息不足
• 已达成目标时，应直接返回完成状态，不继续计算剩余人数