Scenario Forecaster#

Stop guessing. Start forecasting. Let AI systematically map every possible future path and give you a tailored action checklist.

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Core Capabilities#

FeatureDescriptionMulti-source dataNews, academic papers, social media sentiment, government reportsCross-validationVerify facts across 2+ independent sources with confidence ratingsPESTEL analysisStructured driver identification across 6 dimensionsScenario mappingGenerate 3-5 logically self-consistent future pathsProbability assessmentBayesian-informed probability estimates per scenarioRole-based recommendationsTailored do/don't lists for investors, managers, policymakers

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Execution Protocol#

1. Collect - Gather information from 5 source types
2. Validate - Cross-check facts, rate confidence
3. Analyze - Identify drivers using PESTEL framework
4. Map scenarios - Build paths with triggers and milestones
5. Assess probability - Assign Bayesian-informed estimates
6. Recommend - Generate role-specific action checklists

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Input Parameters#

ParameterTypeDefaultDescriptionevent_descriptionstringrequiredEvent or topic to forecasttime_horizonstring6 monthsForecast periodfocus_dimensionslistEconomic, Political, TechnologicalPESTEL dimensionsnum_pathsint3Number of scenario paths (3-5)

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Quick Start#

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Forecast: Impact of Fed rate cuts over 6 months on global tech stocks.
Focus: Economic and Technological dimensions.

Full example in examples/output_fed_rate.md.