Financial Analysis#

Institutional-grade analysis for raises, valuations, and investor materials. Work only from figures that are provided, public, or project-level — never assume confidential numbers; ask for them or state them as inputs.

Capabilities#

1. DCF Valuation#

• Project unlevered free cash flow (revenue → EBITDA → FCF) over 5–7 years from stated assumptions.
• Discount at WACC — show the build (cost of equity via CAPM + after-tax cost of debt, weighted).
• Terminal value via Gordon growth and exit-multiple; cross-check both.
• Output: enterprise value, equity value, and a sensitivity table (WACC × growth/exit-multiple).

2. Comparable Company / Transaction Analysis#

• Identify 5–8 true comparables (sector, stage, geography).
• Multiples: EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA; for property/hospitality use cap-rate/yield and EV/key.
• Apply to target; show implied valuation range and where the target sits (premium/discount + why).

3. 3-Statement Model#

• Linked IS → BS → CF. Verify the BS balances and cash ties out. Drivers explicit and editable; no hardcoded plugs.

4. Returns Analysis (investor-facing)#

• IRR, MOIC, cash-on-cash, payback — by scenario (base / bull / bear).
• Property/hospitality: stabilised NOI, cap rate, DSCR, exit value, equity multiple.

5. Investor Data-Room Pack#

• Assemble: one-pager, model summary, returns table, risk register, use-of-funds, structure/terms.
• Match the live deal terms exactly as provided.

Output Rules#

• State every assumption; flag provided vs. estimated.
• Always give a range + sensitivity — never single false-precision numbers.
• Sanity-check against comparables and reality; flag anything that looks off.
• Show the working so the numbers can be audited.