SimpleFunctions#

AI-native prediction market runtime. Track theses, scan for mispriced contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket, monitor positions, and trade — all through a single CLI built for agents.

Setup

bash

npm install -g @spfunctions/cli
sf setup          # Interactive configuration wizard

Requires a SimpleFunctions account (free tier available at simplefunctions.dev).

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Core Commands#

Thesis Management#

bash

# List all theses
sf list

# Create a new thesis
sf create "Fed will cut rates by 50bps in Q2 2025"

# Get thesis context (primary command for agents)
sf context <thesis-id>

# Inject a signal into the thesis queue
sf signal <thesis-id> "CPI came in hotter than expected"

# Trigger deep evaluation
sf evaluate <thesis-id>

Market Scanning#

bash

# Scan Kalshi for contracts matching a query (no auth required)
sf scan "oil prices"

# Top edges across all theses — what to trade right now
sf edges

# Explore public theses
sf explore

Positions & Trading#

bash

# Show Kalshi positions with thesis edge overlay
sf positions

# Show resting orders
sf orders

# Account balance
sf balance

# Settled contracts with P&L
sf settlements

Dashboard#

bash

# Terminal portfolio dashboard
sf dashboard

Upcoming Events#

bash

# Kalshi calendar events
sf milestones

# Market distribution forecast (P50/P75/P90 history)
sf forecast <event-ticker>

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Telegram Alerts (Human Users)#

Set up Telegram monitoring so SimpleFunctions can push confidence changes and alerts to your phone:

bash

sf telegram --token YOUR_BOTFATHER_TOKEN

Then send /start in Telegram and the bot auto-detects your thesis.

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API Keys#

• SF_API_KEY — SimpleFunctions API token (from simplefunctions.dev)
• KALSHI_API_KEY_ID + KALSHI_PRIVATE_KEY_PATH — for position/order data

Set via environment variables or sf setup.

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Notes#

• All commands support --json for scripted/agentic use
• sf agent <thesis-id> launches interactive natural language mode
• No auth required for sf scan and sf explore
• Free plan includes 15M tokens; charge per token after that