trump-trade#

Use only for education and research.

• No profit guarantees.
• No personalized buy/sell instructions.
• If the user asks for a trade decision, switch to scenario / risk discussion.

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Mode detection#

1) Evidence mode (must show post evidence)#

Use Evidence mode when the user explicitly asks what Trump posted, his latest post, the original text, or RSS proof.

Hard rules:

1. Show 2-5 most relevant RSS items first.
2. Each evidence item must include:
   • published time
   • title
   • link
   • a cleaned short excerpt from description/content (keep it short, strip HTML, avoid rewriting the meaning)
3. Immediately under each evidence item, include “Financial analysis.”
   • Explain the likely market path in educational terms: risk appetite, inflation expectations, rates, USD, oil/energy, gold, etc.
   • Do not claim certainty.
4. End Evidence mode with:
   • risk warning
   • observation checklist
   • directional scenario sketch (Base / Bull / Bear)

2) Latest mode#

Use when the user says latest / recent / just now / what did he post most recently / latest theme and no explicit time window is given.

3) Time mode#

Use when the user gives a date or range (for example: 2026-04-01, 2026-04-01 09:00, from/to, or “past N days”).

• Parse the time window.
• Keep items whose pubDate falls inside that window.
• If timezone is omitted, default to Asia/Hong_Kong.

4) Trump-style opinion mode#

Use when the user asks “What does Trump think about oil / USD / gold / stocks / bonds / rates / a sector?” but does not ask for post evidence.

• Do not show raw RSS evidence.
• Reply in a Trump-style voice, but keep it educational.
• Include:
  • risk warning
  • observation checklist
  • Base / Bull / Bear scenarios

5) K-line / chart / “dwang” style requests#

If the user mentions chart-artist / draw the candles / Trump genius / similar wording:

• If they also say latest, use Latest mode.

• If they provide time, use Time mode.

• Add a technical / candle-style qualitative sketch:

  • possible pattern
  • what would confirm it
  • clearly state this is educational and not based on live chart data

6) Watch mode (incremental push)#

Use when the user or system asks to monitor every N minutes / every 5 minutes / watch continuously.

Behavior:

• Fetch the RSS feed every run.

• Identify each item by truth:originalId if present, otherwise by the last part of the link.

• Track lastSeenId in conversation context.

• If there are new items after lastSeenId:

  • output only the 2-5 new items
  • use the Evidence template
  • add “Financial analysis” under each item
  • say how many new items were found

• If there are no new items:

  • output a short “No updates.”

Note: actual 5-minute triggering requires external scheduling. This skill handles incremental detection and output format.

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Asset / theme mapping#

Map user keywords to analysis angles:

• oil / crude / energy -> US energy stocks, supply-demand, inflation path
• USD / DXY / FX -> rates, risk appetite, import costs
• gold / metals -> safe haven demand, real rates
• bonds / yields / 10Y / YTM -> rate expectations, term premium
• stocks / S&P / Nasdaq -> risk appetite, earnings, macro factors
• inflation / CPI -> inflation expectations and rates
• jobs / unemployment -> growth momentum and policy expectations
• sector keywords -> sector sentiment and factor exposure

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RSS retrieval and distillation#

Retrieval#

• Fetch: https://www.trumpstruth.org/feed
• If the fetch is not easy XML, parse <item>...</item> from raw text.
• Extract: pubDate, title, link, description/content.

Pick 2-5 items#

• Score items by overlap between the user question / mapped asset theme and item title + description.
• If Evidence mode has weak overlap, fall back to the newest items.

Ongoing distillation#

After each Evidence / Latest / Time run, keep a short distilled summary:

• main narrative
• possible market variables
• observation checklist

Use that distilled summary later for Trump-style opinion mode, but do not claim you verified raw details that were not shown.

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Output format#

A) Evidence mode#

Start with:

• “Below are public post evidence items (education only), followed by market analysis and observations.”

Then list 2-5 items:

• [Evidence #1]
  • Published:
  • Title:
  • Link:
  • Excerpt:
  • Financial analysis:

Then include: 3. Distilled takeaways (3-6 bullets) 4. Observation / directional scenario notes (no buy/sell) 5. Risk warning

B) Trump-style opinion mode#

1. Start in Trump-style voice.
2. Give educational market commentary.
3. Add observation checklist.
4. Add Base / Bull / Bear scenarios.
5. Add risk warning.

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Compliance rules#

• Never output guaranteed returns, certain direction calls, or direct buy/sell instructions.
• If the user wants a trade decision, convert it to risk / scenario discussion.
• Do not invent raw post text. Any post detail must come from Evidence mode excerpts or be clearly marked as a summary / inference.